Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: St. Truiden to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt. Truiden to win ✗52% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St. Truiden travel to face KV Mechelen on Sunday 11 October in the Jupiler Pro League, with Achter de Kazerne the venue – the ball rolls at 18:15 WAT. In the table, KV Mechelen are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; St. Truiden are 12th (lower half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
KV Mechelen, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Karpaty, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
St. Truiden, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to KVC Westerlo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St. Truiden, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for KV Mechelen.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended St. Truiden 3–0 KV Mechelen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KV Mechelen 1.2 xG, St. Truiden 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KV Mechelen 27%, draw 21%, St. Truiden 52%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: St. Truiden to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: KV Mechelen 1–1 St. Truiden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KV Mechelen27%fair 3.73 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
St. Truiden52%fair 1.93 · @2.10
3.07Expected goals
1.24KV Mechelen xG
1.83St. Truiden xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: KV Mechelen 1.2 – 1.8 St. Truiden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
On our numbers KV Mechelen have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Truiden 52%.
How many goals will there be in KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
Our predicted score is KV Mechelen 1–1 St. Truiden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden?
KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Achter de Kazerne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
