Standard Liege 33%Draw 22%Charleroi 44%Expected goals 1.55 – 1.81
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultCharleroi to win ✓44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Standard Liege vs Charleroi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Standard Liege welcome Charleroi to Maurice Dufrasne for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Sunday 11 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Standard Liege are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Charleroi are 4th (among the top four) with 27. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Standard Liege, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gent, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Charleroi, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Cercle Brugge, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Charleroi, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Standard Liege.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Standard Liege 1.5 xG, Charleroi 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Standard Liege 33%, draw 22%, Charleroi 44%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Standard Liege 1–1 Charleroi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Standard Liege33%fair 3.00 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.25
Charleroi44%fair 2.26 · @2.30
3.36Expected goals
1.55Standard Liege xG
1.81Charleroi xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Standard Liege 1.5 – 1.8 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✓
44%
2.26
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Charleroi (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Standard Liege +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Charleroi to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Standard Liege – last 6
LLWWWD
18 Sep
@ Gent
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ KVC Westerlo
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs Antwerp
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ OH Leuven
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs RAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ KV Mechelen
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charleroi – last 6
WWLWWW
19 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Zulte Waregem
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
2–3
L
29 Aug
@ Kortrijk
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs KV Mechelen
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Lommel United
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Standard Liege and Charleroi.
What is the prediction for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Standard Liege have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Charleroi 44%.
How many goals will there be in Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Standard Liege 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
Standard Liege vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Maurice Dufrasne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
