Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.77
Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Union St. Gilloise v OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Stade Joseph Marien. In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; OH Leuven are 10th (lower half) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Antwerp, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
OH Leuven, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over RAAL La Louvière, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for OH Leuven.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 2.2 xG, OH Leuven 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 47% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 70%, draw 20%, OH Leuven 10%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union St. Gilloise to win (70%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 OH Leuven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union St. Gilloise70%fair 1.43 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @5.80
OH Leuven10%fair 9.76 · @10.00
3.00Expected goals
2.24Union St. Gilloise xG
0.76OH Leuven xG
47%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.2 – 0.8 OH Leuven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✗
70%
1.43
1.25
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise -1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✗
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
10.77
–
Recent results
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Sep
@ Antwerp
2–0
W
17 Sep
@ Plzen
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Lommel United
5–0
W
5 Sep
@ Charleroi
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ St. Truiden
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Anderlecht
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
OH Leuven – last 6
WDLLLL
19 Sep
vs RAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Cercle Brugge
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ SK Beveren
0–3
L
3 Sep
@ Gent
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Standard Liege
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and OH Leuven.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and OH Leuven 10%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–0 OH Leuven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
