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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Strogino v Torpedo Vladimir: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia

Strogino

WWWWW
0–3
FT

Torpedo Vladimir

WDDLD
Strogino 35%Draw 38%Torpedo Vladimir 27% Expected goals 1.31 – 1.14
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.02 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗38% · @3.02
Double chanceStrogino or draw ✗73% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.76

Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 12 August the Cup brings Strogino against Torpedo Vladimir. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Strogino, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FK Spartak Tambov, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Torpedo Vladimir, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dinamo Vologda, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Strogino, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Torpedo Vladimir.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Strogino 1.3 xG, Torpedo Vladimir 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Strogino 35%, draw 38%, Torpedo Vladimir 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Strogino or draw (73%) at 1.29.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.72.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.02 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Strogino 1–1 Torpedo Vladimir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Strogino35%fair 2.85 · @2.25
Draw38%fair 2.64 · @3.02
Torpedo Vladimir27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
2.45Expected goals
1.31Strogino xG
1.14Torpedo Vladimir xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Strogino 1.3 – 1.1 Torpedo Vladimir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✗38%2.643.02 ▲
Double chanceStrogino or draw ✗73%1.371.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.72
Draw no betStrogino (draw no bet) ✗56%1.77–
Asian handicapTorpedo Vladimir +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.05
First team to scoreStrogino to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Strogino / FT Strogino ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13%7.76–

Recent results

Strogino – last 6

WWWWWL
8 Aug@ FK Spartak Tambov1–0W
1 Aug@ Avangard Kursk3–1W
25 Julvs Volna Nizhegorodskaya2–0W
4 Jul@ Rotor-22–1W
27 Junvs Kvant3–1W
20 Jun@ Salyut-Belgorod0–1L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Torpedo Vladimir – last 6

WDDLDW
9 Aug@ Dinamo Vologda1–0W
2 Augvs Baltika II2–2D
24 Jul@ Yenisey II0–0D
5 Julvs Kosmos Dolgoprudny1–2L
28 Jun@ Dinamo St. Petersburg1–1D
21 Junvs Cherepovets1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Strogino and Torpedo Vladimir.

Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Avangard Kursk1 Kristall MEZ1 Pens 5–4 128%2.12X52%3.25220%3.02 1.5–1.4xG 1XAvangard Kursk or draw 80%@1.28 ✓
FT Volna Nizhegorodskaya2 Tyumen1 146%2.38X25%3.14229%2.70 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32 ✓
FT Zvezda St. Petersburg1 Luki-Energiya2 128%3.48X25%3.15247%1.98 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.31 ✓
FT Dinamo Barnaul0 Dinamo Vladivostok0 Pens 4–3 123%4.55X25%3.82252%1.59 1.1–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Angust Nazran0 Druzhba0 Pens 2–4 126%2.83X28%3.08246%2.32 0.8–1.3xG X2Druzhba or draw 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Znamya Noginsk2 Dinamo Bryansk0 112%4.45X26%3.45263%1.68 1.2–2.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.32 ✓
FT Kaluga5 Iskra Smolensk0 164%1.27X22%4.15213%12.25 2.0–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Astrakhan1 Mashuk-KMV1 Pens 4–3 122%4.60X26%3.48252%1.65 0.9–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?

On our numbers Strogino have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 38% and Torpedo Vladimir 27%.

How many goals will there be in Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?

Our predicted score is Strogino 1–1 Torpedo Vladimir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?

Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.