Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 1.69 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✗64% · @1.69
Double chanceCSKA Moscow or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
CSKA Moscow vs Rubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rubin travel to face CSKA Moscow on Saturday 12 September in the Premier League, with VEB Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT. In the table, CSKA Moscow are 5th, upper half, on 26 points after 14 matches; Rubin are 8th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
CSKA Moscow, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zenit, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Rubin, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Akhmat, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Moscow 1.8 xG, Rubin 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Moscow 64%, draw 20%, Rubin 16%.
Lower-risk option: CSKA Moscow or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: CSKA Moscow to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Moscow 1–0 Rubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Moscow64%fair 1.57 · @1.69
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.88
Rubin16%fair 6.25 · @5.20
2.61Expected goals
1.84CSKA Moscow xG
0.77Rubin xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.8 – 0.8 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✗
64%
1.57
1.69 ▲
Double chance
CSKA Moscow or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.92 ▲
Draw no bet
CSKA Moscow (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
CSKA Moscow -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.27
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.06
First team to score
CSKA Moscow to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
CSKA Moscow ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
CSKA Moscow – last 6
WLDWLW
5 Sep
@ Zenit
2–1
W
1 Sep
@ FC Rostov
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Akron
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Lokomotiv
3–2
W
18 Aug
vs Akron
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Fakel
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rubin – last 6
DDWDDD
7 Sep
vs Akhmat
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ FC Orenburg
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Baltika
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Spartak Moscow
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ FC Rostov
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Moscow and Rubin.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?
On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rubin 16%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–0 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CSKA Moscow vs Rubin?
CSKA Moscow vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
