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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zenit v Lokomotiv: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Gazprom Arena

Zenit

LWWLD
2–1
FT
Zenit 70%Draw 22%Lokomotiv 8% Expected goals 2.09 – 0.63
70%
Betarazi pick

Zenit to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.41Odds

Picks by market

ResultZenit to win ✓70% · @1.41
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓92% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.00

Zenit vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zenit welcome Lokomotiv to Gazprom Arena for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 12 September (14:15 WAT). In the table, Zenit are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Zenit, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CSKA Moscow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Lokomotiv, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Baltika, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Zenit, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Lokomotiv.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 0–0 Zenit.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zenit 2.1 xG, Lokomotiv 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit 70%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv 8%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.84.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Zenit to win (70%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit 2–0 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zenit70%fair 1.43 · @1.41
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.95
Lokomotiv8%fair 11.96 · @7.70
2.72Expected goals
2.09Zenit xG
0.63Lokomotiv xG
48%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Zenit 2.1 – 0.6 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZenit to win ✓70%1.431.41
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓92%1.091.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.84
Draw no betZenit (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapZenit -1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.13
First team to scoreZenit to score first ✗72%1.39–
Half-time resultZenit ahead at half-time ✗51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zenit / FT Zenit ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%10.00–

Recent results

Zenit – last 6

LWWLDW
5 Sepvs CSKA Moscow1–2L
2 Sepvs Dinamo Makhachkala3–0W
29 Aug@ Fakel1–0W
23 Aug@ Spartak Moscow0–2L
19 Aug@ Krylia Sovetov0–0D
16 Augvs Dynamo3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv – last 6

WDLLLD
6 Sep@ Baltika1–0W
1 Sep@ Akron0–0D
29 Augvs Dynamo0–1L
22 Aug@ CSKA Moscow2–3L
18 Aug@ FC Rostov0–1L
14 Aug@ FC Orenburg1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Lokomotiv v Zenit0–0
Zenit vs Lokomotiv head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zenit vs Lokomotiv?

Our pick is Zenit to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.

Who will win Zenit vs Lokomotiv?

On our numbers Zenit have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv 8%.

How many goals will there be in Zenit vs Lokomotiv?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zenit vs Lokomotiv?

Our predicted score is Zenit 2–0 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Zenit vs Lokomotiv?

Zenit vs Lokomotiv (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Gazprom Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.