Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
2
Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 1.71 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✗62% · @1.71
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓86% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.64
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Premier League brings Krylia Sovetov against Spartak Moscow at Solidarnost Samara Arena. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Krylia Sovetov are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Spartak Moscow are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Krylia Sovetov, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Spartak Moscow, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fakel, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Spartak Moscow 3–2 Krylia Sovetov. The last 2 head-to-heads: Krylia Sovetov 1 win, Spartak Moscow 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Krylia Sovetov 0.9 xG, Spartak Moscow 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Krylia Sovetov 14%, draw 24%, Spartak Moscow 62%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow or draw (86%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.64.
Price worth noting: Spartak Moscow to win @1.71 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spartak Moscow or draw (86%, odds 1.21 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylia Sovetov 0–2 Spartak Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Krylia Sovetov14%fair 7.36 · @4.70
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @4.10
Spartak Moscow62%fair 1.61 · @1.71
2.87Expected goals
0.86Krylia Sovetov xG
2.00Spartak Moscow xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 0.9 – 2.0 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spartak Moscow 62%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 0–2 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow?
Krylia Sovetov vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Solidarnost Samara Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
