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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Orenburg v Dinamo Makhachkala: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Gazovik Stadium
4–0
FT
FC Orenburg 42%Draw 23%Dinamo Makhachkala 35% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.23
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Dinamo Makhachkala to win @ 3.22 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Orenburg to win ✓42% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69

FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: FC Orenburg v Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League, played at Gazovik Stadium. In the table, FC Orenburg are 10th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Dinamo Makhachkala are 11th (lower half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Orenburg, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lokomotiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Dinamo Makhachkala, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to CSKA Moscow, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Dinamo Makhachkala 1–0 FC Orenburg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Orenburg 1.4 xG, Dinamo Makhachkala 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Orenburg 42%, draw 23%, Dinamo Makhachkala 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.79.
  • Price worth noting: Dinamo Makhachkala to win @3.22 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Orenburg 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Orenburg42%fair 2.40 · @2.32
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.34
Dinamo Makhachkala35%fair 2.82 · @3.22
2.60Expected goals
1.37FC Orenburg xG
1.23Dinamo Makhachkala xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: FC Orenburg 1.4 – 1.2 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Orenburg to win ✓42%2.402.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.79 ▲
Draw no betFC Orenburg (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapDinamo Makhachkala +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.05
First team to scoreFC Orenburg to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Orenburg / FT FC Orenburg ✓23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

FC Orenburg – last 6

LDLDDD
3 Oct@ Lokomotiv0–2L
17 Sepvs FC Krasnodar0–0D
12 Sep@ Dynamo0–1L
6 Sepvs Akron2–2D
2 Sepvs Rubin1–1D
30 Aug@ Spartak Moscow1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6

LLWLLL
17 Sepvs CSKA Moscow1–3L
13 Sep@ Akhmat2–3L
6 Sepvs Rodina Moskva2–0W
2 Sep@ Zenit0–3L
30 Aug@ Rubin1–3L
23 Augvs FC Krasnodar0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Dinamo Makhachkala v FC Orenburg1–0
FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

On our numbers FC Orenburg have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dinamo Makhachkala 35%.

How many goals will there be in FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our predicted score is FC Orenburg 1–1 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gazovik Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.