FC Krasnodar 60%Draw 24%Baltika 16%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.79
84%
Betarazi pick
FC Krasnodar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: FC Krasnodar to win @ 1.81 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗60% · @1.81
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✓84% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
FC Krasnodar vs Baltika: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Baltika travel to face FC Krasnodar on Saturday 24 October in the Premier League, with Ozon Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, FC Krasnodar are 4th, among the top four, on 26 points after 14 matches; Baltika are 9th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
FC Krasnodar, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Lokomotiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Baltika, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Rostov, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended FC Krasnodar 1–1 Baltika.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Krasnodar 1.7 xG, Baltika 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Krasnodar 60%, draw 24%, Baltika 16%.
Lower-risk option: FC Krasnodar or draw (84%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.98.
Price worth noting: FC Krasnodar to win @1.81 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Krasnodar or draw (84%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Krasnodar 1–0 Baltika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Krasnodar60%fair 1.68 · @1.81
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.64
Baltika16%fair 6.11 · @4.70
2.54Expected goals
1.75FC Krasnodar xG
0.79Baltika xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.7 – 0.8 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
Our pick is FC Krasnodar or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Baltika 16%.
How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 1–0 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Krasnodar vs Baltika?
FC Krasnodar vs Baltika (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
