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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rubin v Krylia Sovetov: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Ak Bars Arena

Rubin

LLLDD
0–2
FT
Rubin 40%Draw 23%Krylia Sovetov 37% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.28
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Krylia Sovetov to win @ 3.14 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRubin to win ✗40% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rubin welcome Krylia Sovetov to Ak Bars Arena for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 24 October (15:15 WAT). In the table, Rubin are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Krylia Sovetov are 7th (upper half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rubin, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Spartak Moscow, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Krylia Sovetov, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Fakel, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Krylia Sovetov, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Rubin.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Rubin 2–0 Krylia Sovetov. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rubin 1 win, Krylia Sovetov 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rubin 1.4 xG, Krylia Sovetov 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rubin 40%, draw 23%, Krylia Sovetov 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.78.
  • Price worth noting: Krylia Sovetov to win @3.14 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubin 1–1 Krylia Sovetov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rubin40%fair 2.48 · @2.36
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.34
Krylia Sovetov37%fair 2.71 · @3.14
2.63Expected goals
1.35Rubin xG
1.28Krylia Sovetov xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Rubin 1.4 – 1.3 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRubin to win ✗40%2.482.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.78
Draw no betRubin (draw no bet) ✗52%1.91–
Asian handicapKrylia Sovetov +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.05
First team to scoreRubin to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rubin / FT Rubin ✗22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.88–

Recent results

Rubin – last 6

LLLDDD
18 Oct@ Spartak Moscow0–4L
15 Octvs FC Orenburg1–4L
11 Octvs Dynamo0–1L
16 Sep@ Rodina Moskva1–1D
12 Sep@ CSKA Moscow1–1D
7 Sepvs Akhmat1–1D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

LLDDWD
17 Octvs Fakel1–2L
14 Octvs Baltika0–2L
10 Octvs Spartak Moscow1–1D
16 Sep@ Lokomotiv1–1D
11 Sepvs Rodina Moskva2–1W
5 Sepvs FC Krasnodar2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Rubin v Krylia Sovetov2–0
22 Mar 2026Krylia Sovetov v Rubin0–0
Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov?

On our numbers Rubin have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Krylia Sovetov 37%.

How many goals will there be in Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov?

Our predicted score is Rubin 1–1 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov?

Rubin vs Krylia Sovetov (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Ak Bars Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.