Akhmat 63%Draw 20%Rodina Moskva 17%Expected goals 2.00 – 0.93
83%
Betarazi pick
Akhmat or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Akhmat to win @ 1.78 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAkhmat to win ✓63% · @1.78
Double chanceAkhmat or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Akhmat v Rodina Moskva in the Premier League, played at Akhmat-Arena. In the table, Akhmat are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Rodina Moskva are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Akhmat, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dynamo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Rodina Moskva, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Krasnodar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rodina Moskva, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Akhmat.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Akhmat 2.0 xG, Rodina Moskva 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Akhmat 63%, draw 20%, Rodina Moskva 17%.
Lower-risk option: Akhmat or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Akhmat to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Akhmat or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akhmat 2–0 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Akhmat63%fair 1.59 · @1.78
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.10
Rodina Moskva17%fair 5.77 · @4.25
2.94Expected goals
2.00Akhmat xG
0.93Rodina Moskva xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Akhmat 2.0 – 0.9 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akhmat to win✓
63%
1.59
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Akhmat or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.66
Draw no bet
Akhmat (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Akhmat -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
First team to score
Akhmat to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Akhmat ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akhmat / FT Akhmat✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Akhmat – last 6
LDLLLD
31 Oct
@ Dynamo
0–2
L
27 Oct
@ Fakel
0–0
D
23 Oct
vs FC Orenburg
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Zenit
2–3
L
14 Oct
vs Dynamo
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Baltika
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
WLWDLL
31 Oct
vs FC Krasnodar
2–1
W
28 Oct
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Fakel
1–0
W
19 Oct
vs FC Orenburg
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Spartak Moscow
2–4
L
11 Oct
@ CSKA Moscow
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akhmat and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Akhmat or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rodina Moskva 17%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 2–0 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva?
Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
