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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Krasnodar v CSKA Moscow: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Ozon Arena
4–2
FT
FC Krasnodar 43%Draw 21%CSKA Moscow 36% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.34
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2

Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 3.26 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✓43% · @2.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42

FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Krasnodar welcome CSKA Moscow to Ozon Arena for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 7 November (17:30 WAT). In the table, FC Krasnodar are 4th, among the top four, on 26 points after 14 matches; CSKA Moscow are 5th (upper half) with 26. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Krasnodar, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rodina Moskva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

CSKA Moscow, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FC Orenburg, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours CSKA Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for FC Krasnodar.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended FC Krasnodar 4–0 CSKA Moscow. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Krasnodar 1 win, CSKA Moscow 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Krasnodar 1.5 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Krasnodar 43%, draw 21%, CSKA Moscow 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.56.
  • Price worth noting: CSKA Moscow to win @3.26 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Krasnodar 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Krasnodar43%fair 2.34 · @2.13
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.76
CSKA Moscow36%fair 2.75 · @3.26
2.82Expected goals
1.48FC Krasnodar xG
1.34CSKA Moscow xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.5 – 1.3 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Krasnodar to win ✓43%2.342.13
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.56
Draw no betFC Krasnodar (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapCSKA Moscow +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.211.12
First team to scoreFC Krasnodar to score first49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar ✓24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.42–

Recent results

FC Krasnodar – last 6

LWDDLL
31 Oct@ Rodina Moskva1–2L
27 Octvs Dynamo2–1W
24 Octvs Baltika1–1D
17 Oct@ Lokomotiv3–3D
13 Octvs Fakel0–2L
10 Octvs Zenit2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CSKA Moscow – last 6

DWWLWW
1 Nov@ FC Orenburg0–0D
29 Octvs Lokomotiv3–1W
25 Octvs Spartak Moscow2–0W
18 Oct@ Dynamo1–3L
14 Octvs FC Rostov4–0W
11 Octvs Rodina Moskva3–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026FC Krasnodar v CSKA Moscow4–0
4 Mar 2026CSKA Moscow v FC Krasnodar3–1
FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?

On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CSKA Moscow 36%.

How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?

Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 1–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow?

FC Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.