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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fakel v Dynamo: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Russia · Fakel Stadium

Fakel

LDLWW
1–2
FT

Dynamo

WLLWW
Fakel 16%Draw 23%Dynamo 61% Expected goals 0.79 – 1.77
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.32Odds

Picks by market

ResultDynamo to win ✓61% · @1.65
Double chanceDynamo or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.32

Fakel vs Dynamo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Fakel v Dynamo in the Premier League, played at Fakel Stadium. In the table, Fakel are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 14 matches; Dynamo are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Fakel, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rubin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Dynamo, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Akhmat, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dynamo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Fakel.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Aug 2026) it ended Fakel 0–1 Dynamo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fakel 0.8 xG, Dynamo 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel 16%, draw 23%, Dynamo 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Dynamo or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.89.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel 0–1 Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fakel16%fair 6.06 · @5.25
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.10
Dynamo61%fair 1.64 · @1.65
2.56Expected goals
0.79Fakel xG
1.77Dynamo xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Fakel 0.8 – 1.8 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDynamo to win ✓61%1.641.65
Double chanceDynamo or draw ✓84%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.871.89
Draw no betDynamo (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapDynamo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.97
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.32
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.07
First team to scoreDynamo to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultDynamo ahead at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dynamo / FT Dynamo ✗38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.32–

Recent results

Fakel – last 6

LDLWWL
31 Oct@ Rubin0–1L
27 Octvs Akhmat0–0D
24 Octvs Rodina Moskva0–1L
17 Oct@ Krylia Sovetov2–1W
13 Oct@ FC Krasnodar2–0W
10 Octvs Lokomotiv0–5L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dynamo – last 6

WLLWWW
31 Octvs Akhmat2–0W
27 Oct@ FC Krasnodar1–2L
24 Oct@ Akron1–3L
18 Octvs CSKA Moscow3–1W
14 Oct@ Akhmat2–1W
11 Oct@ Rubin1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Aug 2026Fakel v Dynamo0–1
Fakel vs Dynamo head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit141013+1731
2Dynamo141013+1031
3Spartak Moscow14923+1629
4FC Krasnodar14752+726
5CSKA Moscow14752+726
6FC Rostov14545-119
7Krylia Sovetov14464-118
8Rubin14464-418
9Baltika14455+217
10FC Orenburg14383017
11Dinamo Makhachkala14518-916
12Akhmat14356-314
13Rodina Moskva14338-1412
14Akron14266-812
15Lokomotiv14257-511
16Fakel141310-146

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fakel vs Dynamo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Fakel vs Dynamo?

On our numbers Fakel have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dynamo 61%.

How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Dynamo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Dynamo?

Our predicted score is Fakel 0–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Fakel vs Dynamo?

Fakel vs Dynamo (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.