Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Crusaders FC v Ballymena United: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Seaview
2–1
FT
Crusaders FC 24%Draw 14%Ballymena United 62% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.93
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Ballymena United to win @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBallymena United to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Crusaders FC v Ballymena United in the Premiership, played at Seaview. In the table, Crusaders FC are 8th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Ballymena United are 9th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Crusaders FC, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cliftonville FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ballymena United, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Linfield, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 6. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Ballymena United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Crusaders FC.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Ballymena United 2–0 Crusaders FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crusaders FC 1.0 xG, Ballymena United 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Crusaders FC 24%, draw 14%, Ballymena United 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Ballymena United to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crusaders FC 1–1 Ballymena United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crusaders FC24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
Draw14%fair 6.98 · @3.70
Ballymena United62%fair 1.62 · @1.83
2.98Expected goals
1.04Crusaders FC xG
1.93Ballymena United xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Crusaders FC 1.0 – 1.9 Ballymena United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBallymena United to win ✗62%1.621.83 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.57
Draw no betBallymena United (draw no bet) ✗72%1.38–
Asian handicapCrusaders FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreBallymena United to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultBallymena United ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ballymena United / FT Ballymena United ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Crusaders FC – last 6

LWDLWD
7 Aug@ Cliftonville FC1–2L
1 Augvs Dundela2–0W
28 Julvs Newington Youth1–1D
25 Jul@ Moyola Park1–2L
21 Julvs Glenavon FC2–0W
18 Julvs Ballinamallard United0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ballymena United – last 6

WDDWWD
8 Aug@ Linfield3–0W
1 Aug@ Glenavon FC1–1D
1 Aug@ Annagh United2–2D
25 Jul@ Portstewart5–1W
24 Jul@ Carrick Rangers3–0W
18 Jul@ Queen's University1–1D
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Feb 2026Ballymena United v Crusaders FC2–0
Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

On our numbers Crusaders FC have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Ballymena United 62%.

How many goals will there be in Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

Our predicted score is Crusaders FC 1–1 Ballymena United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United?

Crusaders FC vs Ballymena United (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Seaview.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.