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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portadown v Dungannon Swifts: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Shamrock Park
0–1
FT
Portadown 41%Draw 22%Dungannon Swifts 38% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.27
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Portadown to win @ 2.65 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPortadown to win ✗41% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94

Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the Premiership brings Portadown against Dungannon Swifts at Shamrock Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Portadown are 12th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 15 matches; Dungannon Swifts are 7th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Portadown, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Carrick Rangers, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Dungannon Swifts, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Coleraine FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portadown 1.3 xG, Dungannon Swifts 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portadown 41%, draw 22%, Dungannon Swifts 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Portadown to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portadown 1–1 Dungannon Swifts. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portadown41%fair 2.45 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.35
Dungannon Swifts38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
2.61Expected goals
1.34Portadown xG
1.27Dungannon Swifts xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Portadown 1.3 – 1.3 Dungannon Swifts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortadown to win ✗41%2.452.65 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.62
Draw no betPortadown (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapDungannon Swifts +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.91
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scorePortadown to score first ✗48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portadown / FT Portadown ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.94–

Recent results

Portadown – last 6

LWWLDW
8 Aug@ Carrick Rangers0–1L
25 Jul@ Kilbarrack United3–0W
21 Jul@ H&W Welders2–0W
18 Jul@ Coleraine FC0–3L
7 Jul@ Bourneview Mill2–2D
4 Jul@ Ballyclare Comrades3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dungannon Swifts – last 6

LWDWWD
8 Augvs Coleraine FC1–3L
1 Aug@ Moyola Park3–0W
25 Jul@ H&W Welders1–1D
24 Jul@ Oxford Sunnyside1–0W
21 Jul@ Loughgall4–1W
18 Jul@ Strabane Athletic2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Portadown and Dungannon Swifts.

Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?

On our numbers Portadown have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dungannon Swifts 38%.

How many goals will there be in Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?

Our predicted score is Portadown 1–1 Dungannon Swifts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?

Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamrock Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.