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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Linfield v Glentoran: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Northern-Ireland · Windsor Park
2–1
FT
Linfield 40%Draw 22%Glentoran 38% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.28
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Linfield to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLinfield to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.09

Linfield vs Glentoran: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Linfield v Glentoran in the Premiership, played at Windsor Park. In the table, Linfield are 1st, leading the league, on 36 points after 15 matches; Glentoran are 4th (among the top four) with 22. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Linfield, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Ballymena United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Glentoran, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Limavady United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Glentoran 0–0 Linfield.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Linfield 1.3 xG, Glentoran 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Linfield 40%, draw 22%, Glentoran 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Linfield to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Linfield 1–1 Glentoran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Linfield40%fair 2.52 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.25
Glentoran38%fair 2.64 · @2.33
2.60Expected goals
1.32Linfield xG
1.28Glentoran xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Linfield 1.3 – 1.3 Glentoran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLinfield to win ✓40%2.522.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.65
Draw no betLinfield (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapGlentoran +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreLinfield to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Linfield / FT Linfield ✓22%4.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.09–

Recent results

Linfield – last 6

LWWLDL
8 Augvs Ballymena United0–3L
28 Jul@ Dollingstown7–1W
24 Jul@ Limavady United1–0W
18 Julvs Doncaster0–2L
16 Julvs Kalju Nomme2–2D
11 Julvs Aberdeen0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Glentoran – last 6

WLLDLW
8 Augvs Limavady United2–0W
16 Jul@ Rīgas FS0–2L
9 Julvs Rīgas FS1–2L
4 Jul@ Dundela3–3D
1 Julvs Kilmarnock0–4L
26 Jun@ Belfast Celtic8–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Glentoran v Linfield0–0
Linfield vs Glentoran head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield151131+1336
2Coleraine FC151122+1635
3Larne13823+1026
4Glentoran14644+622
5Cliftonville FC15708+821
6Carrick Rangers15546-419
7Dungannon Swifts14536-418
8Crusaders FC15609-1018
9Ballymena United13445+116
10Limavady United15429-1014
11Bangor15339-1312
12Portadown152310-139

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Linfield vs Glentoran?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Linfield vs Glentoran?

On our numbers Linfield have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Glentoran 38%.

How many goals will there be in Linfield vs Glentoran?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Linfield vs Glentoran?

Our predicted score is Linfield 1–1 Glentoran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Linfield vs Glentoran?

Linfield vs Glentoran (Premiership) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.