Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultValerenga to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 July the Friendlies Clubs brings Valerenga against Fredrikstad. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Valerenga, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with IFK Goteborg, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Fredrikstad, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Start, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fredrikstad, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Valerenga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valerenga 1.9 xG, Fredrikstad 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valerenga 46%, draw 22%, Fredrikstad 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valerenga 2–1 Fredrikstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valerenga46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Fredrikstad32%fair 3.14 · @3.00
3.34Expected goals
1.89Valerenga xG
1.45Fredrikstad xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Valerenga 1.9 – 1.5 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+7%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+6%
Our expected goals here
2.08
1.46
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valerenga to win✓
46%
2.18
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Valerenga (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Fredrikstad +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
First team to score
Valerenga to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Valerenga ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valerenga / FT Valerenga✓
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Valerenga – last 6
DWLLLL
18 Jun
@ IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
29 May
vs Kristiansund BK
3–1
W
25 May
@ Start
0–2
L
8 May
@ Ham-Kam
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Molde
1–5
L
6 Apr
vs Viking
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 6
WDLLWW
29 May
vs Start
2–1
W
25 May
@ Sandefjord
1–1
D
9 May
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Kristiansund BK
0–2
L
7 Apr
@ Aalesund
3–2
W
22 Mar
vs KFUM Oslo
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valerenga and Fredrikstad.
What is the prediction for Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Valerenga have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fredrikstad 32%.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Valerenga 2–1 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?
Valerenga vs Fredrikstad (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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