Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 1.93 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓61% · @1.93
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nizhny Novgorod welcome Rotor Volgograd to Sovcombank Arena for a First League fixture on Sunday 12 July (14:30 WAT). In the table, Nizhny Novgorod are 1st, leading the league, on 46 points after 17 matches; Rotor Volgograd are 10th (lower half) with 21. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dynamo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Rotor Volgograd, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC UFA, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rotor Volgograd, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Nizhny Novgorod.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 xG, Rotor Volgograd 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nizhny Novgorod 61%, draw 24%, Rotor Volgograd 15%.
Lower-risk option: Nizhny Novgorod or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.98.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nizhny Novgorod or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Rotor Volgograd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nizhny Novgorod61%fair 1.64 · @1.93
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.15
Rotor Volgograd15%fair 6.56 · @4.10
2.89Expected goals
2.06Nizhny Novgorod xG
0.84Rotor Volgograd xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.1 – 0.8 Rotor Volgograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nizhny Novgorod
Rotor Volgograd
Attack vs First League average
+100%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-17%
Our expected goals here
2.47
0.83
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
61%
1.64
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.98 ▲
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.02
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
LDLLLL
4 Jul
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
17 May
@ Rubin
2–2
D
11 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs FC Rostov
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
WWLLDW
28 Jun
vs FC UFA
1–0
W
23 May
@ Akron
1–0
W
20 May
vs Akron
0–2
L
10 May
@ FC UFA
0–1
L
4 May
@ Arsenal Tula
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Rotor Volgograd.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our pick is Nizhny Novgorod or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rotor Volgograd 15%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 2–0 Rotor Volgograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Rotor Volgograd (First League) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
