Value bet: KAMAZ to win @ 3.54 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓44% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 July the First League brings Spartak Kostroma against KAMAZ at Stadion Urozhay. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Spartak Kostroma are 6th, upper half, on 28 points after 17 matches; KAMAZ are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Spartak Kostroma, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lokomotiv, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
KAMAZ, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FK Neftekhimik, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours KAMAZ, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Spartak Kostroma.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended KAMAZ 2–0 Spartak Kostroma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.5 xG, KAMAZ 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 44%, draw 25%, KAMAZ 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: KAMAZ to win @3.54 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 1–1 KAMAZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Kostroma44%fair 2.29 · @2.04
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.26
KAMAZ31%fair 3.24 · @3.54
2.59Expected goals
1.49Spartak Kostroma xG
1.10KAMAZ xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.5 – 1.1 KAMAZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Spartak Kostroma
KAMAZ
Attack vs First League average
-4%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.08
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and KAMAZ 31%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ?
Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–1 KAMAZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ?
Spartak Kostroma vs KAMAZ (First League) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
