Value bet: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @ 3.44 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Sochi to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.14
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Sochi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 12 July: Shinnik Yaroslavl v FC Sochi in the First League, played at Stadion Shinnik. In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; FC Sochi are 4th (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CSKA Moscow, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
FC Sochi, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Torpedo Moskva, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.2 xG, FC Sochi 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 34%, draw 26%, FC Sochi 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.89.
Price worth noting: Shinnik Yaroslavl to win @3.44 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 FC Sochi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl34%fair 2.94 · @3.44
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.46
FC Sochi40%fair 2.49 · @2.00
2.35Expected goals
1.19Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
1.16FC Sochi xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.2 – 1.2 FC Sochi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
FC Sochi
Attack vs First League average
-5%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.01
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win✗
40%
2.49
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.89
Draw no bet
FC Sochi (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
FC Sochi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.02
First team to score
Shinnik Yaroslavl to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.14
–
Recent results
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DDWDWD
30 Jun
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
11 May
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
4 May
@ Ural
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Fakel
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
FC Sochi – last 6
LWDDLW
3 Jul
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
30 Jun
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–2
W
26 Jun
vs Arsenal Tula
3–3
D
17 May
vs Akhmat
1–1
D
10 May
@ Zenit
1–2
L
3 May
vs FC Orenburg
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and FC Sochi.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Sochi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Sochi?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Sochi 40%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Sochi?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Sochi?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–1 FC Sochi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Sochi?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs FC Sochi (First League) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Shinnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
