Cardiff 44%Draw 21%Stoke City 36%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.48
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultCardiff to win ✗44% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Cardiff vs Stoke City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cardiff welcome Stoke City to Cardiff City Stadium for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 8 September (19:45 WAT). In the table, Cardiff are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Stoke City are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Cardiff, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Portsmouth, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Stoke City, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Charlton, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stoke City, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Cardiff.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff 1.7 xG, Stoke City 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff 44%, draw 21%, Stoke City 36%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff 1–1 Stoke City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff44%fair 2.29 · @2.16
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
Stoke City36%fair 2.81 · @2.96
3.15Expected goals
1.67Cardiff xG
1.48Stoke City xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Cardiff 1.7 – 1.5 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✗
44%
2.29
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Draw no bet
Cardiff (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Stoke City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
First team to score
Cardiff to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
Cardiff – last 6
LLDLDD
5 Sep
@ Portsmouth
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ QPR
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Norwich
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Derby
2–2
D
17 Aug
vs Wrexham
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 6
WWLDLL
5 Sep
vs Charlton
4–0
W
1 Sep
vs Norwich
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Wolves
1–4
L
25 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Southampton
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swansea
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Stoke City.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Cardiff vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stoke City 36%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Stoke City?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Cardiff 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cardiff vs Stoke City?
Cardiff vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
