Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultWrexham to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Wrexham vs Burnley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Tuesday 8 September: Wrexham v Burnley in the Championship, played at Racecourse Ground. In the table, Wrexham are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Burnley are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Wrexham, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Swansea, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Burnley, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bristol City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Wrexham, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Burnley.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wrexham 1.7 xG, Burnley 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wrexham 50%, draw 22%, Burnley 27%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wrexham 1–1 Burnley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wrexham50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Burnley27%fair 3.68 · @3.50
2.80Expected goals
1.66Wrexham xG
1.14Burnley xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Wrexham 1.7 – 1.1 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wrexham to win✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Draw no bet
Wrexham (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Burnley +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Wrexham to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wrexham / FT Wrexham✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Wrexham – last 6
DWLDDL
5 Sep
@ Swansea
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ Millwall
3–0
W
28 Aug
vs Birmingham
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Watford
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Cardiff
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
LDLDLD
5 Sep
vs Bristol City
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Norwich
1–4
L
26 Aug
@ Bradford
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ West Brom
1–3
L
16 Aug
vs West Ham
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wrexham and Burnley.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Wrexham vs Burnley?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burnley 27%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Burnley?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Wrexham 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Wrexham vs Burnley?
Wrexham vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Racecourse Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
