Norwich vs Southampton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Norwich welcome Southampton to Carrow Road for a Championship fixture on Wednesday 14 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Norwich are 12th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Southampton are 7th (upper half) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Norwich, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Swansea, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Southampton, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Portsmouth, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Southampton, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Norwich.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Southampton 1–0 Norwich.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Norwich 1.8 xG, Southampton 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Norwich 39%, draw 21%, Southampton 40%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Norwich 1–1 Southampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Norwich39%fair 2.58 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Southampton40%fair 2.49 · @2.60
3.67Expected goals
1.82Norwich xG
1.85Southampton xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: Norwich 1.8 – 1.9 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Norwich vs Southampton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Norwich vs Southampton?
On our numbers Norwich have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southampton 40%.
How many goals will there be in Norwich vs Southampton?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Southampton?
Our predicted score is Norwich 1–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Norwich vs Southampton?
Norwich vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.