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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Norwich v Southampton: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Carrow Road

Norwich

LLLLW
0–1
FT
Norwich 39%Draw 21%Southampton 40% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.85
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouthampton to win ✓40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.58

Norwich vs Southampton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Norwich welcome Southampton to Carrow Road for a Championship fixture on Wednesday 14 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Norwich are 12th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Southampton are 7th (upper half) with 24. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Norwich, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Swansea, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Southampton, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Portsmouth, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Southampton, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Norwich.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Southampton 1–0 Norwich.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Norwich 1.8 xG, Southampton 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Norwich 39%, draw 21%, Southampton 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Norwich 1–1 Southampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Norwich39%fair 2.58 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Southampton40%fair 2.49 · @2.60
3.67Expected goals
1.82Norwich xG
1.85Southampton xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%

From our goals model: Norwich 1.8 – 1.9 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouthampton to win ✓40%2.492.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗70%1.431.44
Draw no betSouthampton (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapNorwich +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓50%2.00–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
First team to scoreSouthampton to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Southampton / FT Southampton ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.58–

Recent results

Norwich – last 6

LLLLWW
10 Oct@ Swansea1–2L
20 Sepvs Bolton3–4L
17 Sep@ Manchester City0–5L
12 Sep@ Middlesbrough3–4L
9 Sepvs Birmingham2–1W
5 Sep@ Sheffield Utd3–1W
2.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Southampton – last 6

WLWWDD
11 Octvs Portsmouth1–0W
19 Sep@ Wrexham1–2L
12 Sepvs Bristol City4–1W
8 Sepvs Swansea3–1W
5 Sep@ Lincoln1–1D
1 Sep@ Birmingham1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Southampton v Norwich1–0
Norwich vs Southampton head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Norwich vs Southampton?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Norwich vs Southampton?

On our numbers Norwich have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southampton 40%.

How many goals will there be in Norwich vs Southampton?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Norwich vs Southampton?

Our predicted score is Norwich 1–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Norwich vs Southampton?

Norwich vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.