Value bet: Sheffield Utd to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPortsmouth to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sheffield Utd travel to face Portsmouth on Wednesday 14 October in the Championship, with Fratton Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Portsmouth are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Sheffield Utd are 10th (upper half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portsmouth, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Southampton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sheffield Utd, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lincoln, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portsmouth 1.3 xG, Sheffield Utd 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portsmouth 40%, draw 23%, Sheffield Utd 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Sheffield Utd to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portsmouth 1–1 Sheffield Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portsmouth40%fair 2.48 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.30
Sheffield Utd37%fair 2.70 · @3.10
2.53Expected goals
1.30Portsmouth xG
1.23Sheffield Utd xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.3 – 1.2 Sheffield Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✓
40%
2.48
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Portsmouth (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Sheffield Utd +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Portsmouth to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
Portsmouth – last 6
LDDWLL
11 Oct
@ Southampton
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Blackburn
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Charlton
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Cardiff
2–0
W
1 Sep
vs Derby
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Bristol City
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sheffield Utd – last 6
WLLLWL
10 Oct
vs Lincoln
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Stoke City
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Wolves
0–1
L
8 Sep
@ Blackburn
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Norwich
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd.
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sheffield Utd 37%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Sheffield Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd (Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
