Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultCardiff to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Cardiff vs Burnley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cardiff welcome Burnley to Cardiff City Stadium for a Championship fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Cardiff are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Burnley are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Cardiff, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with West Ham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Burnley, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with QPR, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff 2.1 xG, Burnley 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff 63%, draw 15%, Burnley 22%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cardiff to win (63%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff 2–1 Burnley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cardiff63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.80 · @3.90
Burnley22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
3.23Expected goals
2.11Cardiff xG
1.12Burnley xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Cardiff 2.1 – 1.1 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✓
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Draw no bet
Cardiff (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Cardiff -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
First team to score
Cardiff to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Cardiff ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Cardiff – last 6
DLWDWL
4 Nov
vs West Ham
3–3
D
31 Oct
@ Wolves
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Birmingham
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Watford
5–1
W
10 Oct
@ Blackburn
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
DDLLDW
3 Nov
@ QPR
1–1
D
31 Oct
vs Portsmouth
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lincoln
1–4
L
16 Oct
vs Wolves
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Charlton
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Watford
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Burnley.
Our pick is Cardiff to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Cardiff vs Burnley?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Burnley 22%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Burnley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Cardiff 2–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cardiff vs Burnley?
Cardiff vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
