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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Preston v Southampton: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Deepdale

Preston

LLDLL
1–0
FT
Preston 12%Draw 21%Southampton 67% Expected goals 0.85 – 2.19
67%
Betarazi pick

Southampton to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouthampton to win ✗67% · @1.62
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✗88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Preston vs Southampton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the Championship brings Preston against Southampton at Deepdale. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Preston are 24th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 15 matches; Southampton are 7th (upper half) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Preston, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sheffield Utd, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Southampton, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with West Brom, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Southampton, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.2 for Preston.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Preston 1–3 Southampton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Preston 0.9 xG, Southampton 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Preston 12%, draw 21%, Southampton 67%.
  • Lower-risk option: Southampton or draw (88%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Southampton to win (67%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Preston 0–2 Southampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Preston12%fair 8.14 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.00
Southampton67%fair 1.50 · @1.62
3.04Expected goals
0.85Preston xG
2.19Southampton xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Preston 0.9 – 2.2 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouthampton to win ✗67%1.501.62 ▲
Double chanceSouthampton or draw ✗88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.62
Draw no betSouthampton (draw no bet) ✗84%1.18–
Asian handicapSouthampton -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.611.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
First team to scoreSouthampton to score first ✗68%1.46–
Half-time resultSouthampton ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Southampton / FT Southampton ✗44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Preston – last 6

LLDLLL
3 Novvs Sheffield Utd2–3L
31 Oct@ Stoke City0–2L
24 Octvs West Brom1–1D
17 Oct@ Wrexham1–4L
13 Oct@ Birmingham0–4L
10 Octvs Millwall0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Southampton – last 6

DWWDWW
3 Nov@ West Brom1–1D
31 Octvs QPR4–1W
24 Oct@ West Ham3–2W
17 Octvs Bolton0–0D
14 Oct@ Norwich1–0W
11 Octvs Portsmouth1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Preston v Southampton1–3
Preston vs Southampton head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston vs Southampton?

Our pick is Southampton to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Preston vs Southampton?

On our numbers Preston have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southampton 67%.

How many goals will there be in Preston vs Southampton?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Preston vs Southampton?

Our predicted score is Preston 0–2 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Preston vs Southampton?

Preston vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.