Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPortsmouth to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Portsmouth vs Stoke City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stoke City travel to face Portsmouth on Saturday 7 November in the Championship, with Fratton Park the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Portsmouth are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Stoke City are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Portsmouth, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Swansea, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Stoke City, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Blackburn, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portsmouth 1.4 xG, Stoke City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portsmouth 43%, draw 23%, Stoke City 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Stoke City to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portsmouth 1–1 Stoke City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portsmouth43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Stoke City34%fair 2.91 · @3.30
2.52Expected goals
1.35Portsmouth xG
1.17Stoke City xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.4 – 1.2 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✗
43%
2.33
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Portsmouth (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Stoke City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Portsmouth to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Portsmouth – last 6
WDWDWW
3 Nov
vs Swansea
3–1
W
31 Oct
@ Burnley
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Millwall
2–1
W
20 Oct
@ Wolves
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Norwich
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Sheffield Utd
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 6
WWDWLW
3 Nov
@ Blackburn
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Preston
2–0
W
24 Oct
vs Bristol City
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Derby
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Middlesbrough
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Bolton
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and Stoke City.
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stoke City 34%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Portsmouth vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
