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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Rostov v Lokomotiv: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Rostov Arena

FC Rostov

DDWWL
1–0
FT

Lokomotiv

DDDLD
FC Rostov 43%Draw 22%Lokomotiv 36% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.47
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: FC Rostov to win @ 2.57 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFC Rostov to win ✓43% · @2.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36

FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 18 August the Cup brings FC Rostov against Lokomotiv at Rostov Arena. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT.

Current form

FC Rostov, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rubin, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Lokomotiv, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Orenburg, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours FC Rostov, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Lokomotiv.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Rostov 1.6 xG, Lokomotiv 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Rostov 43%, draw 22%, Lokomotiv 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: FC Rostov to win @2.57 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Rostov 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Rostov43%fair 2.34 · @2.57
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.54
Lokomotiv36%fair 2.80 · @2.72
3.10Expected goals
1.63FC Rostov xG
1.47Lokomotiv xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: FC Rostov 1.6 – 1.5 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Rostov to win ✓43%2.342.57 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.67
Draw no betFC Rostov (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapLokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.89
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.501.31
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.07
First team to scoreFC Rostov to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Rostov / FT FC Rostov ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.36–

Recent results

FC Rostov – last 6

DDWWLW
15 Augvs Rubin1–1D
8 Aug@ CSKA Moscow0–0D
4 Aug@ Akron4–0W
31 Jul@ Rodina Moskva4–2W
26 Jul@ FC Orenburg1–2L
15 Julvs Fakel2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv – last 6

DDDLDL
14 Aug@ FC Orenburg1–1D
8 Augvs Akron0–0D
4 Augvs CSKA Moscow1–1D
1 Aug@ Dinamo Makhachkala1–2L
26 Julvs Akhmat1–1D
18 Julvs Rubin1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Rostov and Lokomotiv.

FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT CSKA Moscow0 Akron1 164%1.52X19%4.65217%6.05 2.2–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.73 ✗
FT Rodina Moskva1 FC Orenburg4 145%2.51X22%3.56233%2.78 2.3–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.71 ✓
FT Akhmat2 Fakel1 162%1.86X23%3.68215%4.35 1.6–0.7xG 1XAkhmat or draw 85%@1.24 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?

On our numbers FC Rostov have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lokomotiv 36%.

How many goals will there be in FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?

Our predicted score is FC Rostov 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv?

FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostov Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.