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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rodina Moskva v FC Orenburg: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Arena Khimki

Rodina Moskva

DWWLL
1–4
FT

FC Orenburg

DDLLW
Rodina Moskva 45%Draw 22%FC Orenburg 33% Expected goals 2.27 – 1.94
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.71 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.71Odds

Picks by market

ResultRodina Moskva to win ✗45% · @2.51
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.54
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.71
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.50

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rodina Moskva welcome FC Orenburg to Arena Khimki for a Cup fixture on Tuesday 18 August (16:30 WAT).

Current form

Rodina Moskva, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Akron, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

FC Orenburg, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 2.3 xG, FC Orenburg 1.9 xG – a total near 4.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 45%, draw 22%, FC Orenburg 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.54.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.71 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 2–1 FC Orenburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rodina Moskva45%fair 2.21 · @2.51
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.56
FC Orenburg33%fair 3.01 · @2.78
4.21Expected goals
2.27Rodina Moskva xG
1.94FC Orenburg xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–17%
2–27%
1–17%
1–26%
3–16%
3–25%

From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 2.3 – 1.9 FC Orenburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRodina Moskva to win ✗45%2.212.51 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.461.54 ▲
Draw no betRodina Moskva (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapFC Orenburg +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.71 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.921.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.431.12
First team to scoreRodina Moskva to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultRodina Moskva ahead at half-time ✗38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva ✗29%3.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.50–

Recent results

Rodina Moskva – last 6

DWWLLL
15 Augvs Akron3–3D
9 Aug@ Zenit2–1W
4 Augvs Rubin5–0W
31 Julvs FC Rostov2–4L
25 Jul@ Spartak Moscow0–3L
2 Julvs Akron0–5L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

FC Orenburg – last 6

DDLLWW
14 Augvs Lokomotiv1–1D
9 Aug@ Rubin1–1D
5 Aug@ Spartak Moscow1–5L
2 Augvs Zenit0–3L
26 Julvs FC Rostov2–1W
11 Julvs CSKA Moscow2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and FC Orenburg.

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT CSKA Moscow0 Akron1 164%1.52X19%4.65217%6.05 2.2–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.73 ✗
FT Akhmat2 Fakel1 162%1.86X23%3.68215%4.35 1.6–0.7xG 1XAkhmat or draw 85%@1.24 ✓
FT FC Rostov1 Lokomotiv0 143%2.57X22%3.54236%2.72 1.6–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.71.

Who will win Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Orenburg 33%.

How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 2–1 FC Orenburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.

When is Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg?

Rodina Moskva vs FC Orenburg (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.