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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Krasnodar v Fakel: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Ozon Arena

FC Krasnodar

LDDDD
0–2
FT

Fakel

LWLDL
FC Krasnodar 68%Draw 18%Fakel 14% Expected goals 1.80 – 0.59
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.34Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗68% · @1.41
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✗86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.02
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40

FC Krasnodar vs Fakel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fakel travel to face FC Krasnodar on Tuesday 13 October in the Cup, with Ozon Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT.

Current form

FC Krasnodar, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Zenit, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Fakel, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Lokomotiv, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Fakel 1–1 FC Krasnodar. The last 2 head-to-heads: FC Krasnodar 1 win, Fakel 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Krasnodar 1.8 xG, Fakel 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Krasnodar 68%, draw 18%, Fakel 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.02.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Krasnodar 1–0 Fakel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Krasnodar68%fair 1.46 · @1.41
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @4.95
Fakel14%fair 7.40 · @7.40
2.39Expected goals
1.80FC Krasnodar xG
0.59Fakel xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: FC Krasnodar 1.8 – 0.6 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Krasnodar to win ✗68%1.461.41
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✗86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.982.02
Draw no betFC Krasnodar (draw no bet) ✗84%1.20–
Asian handicapFC Krasnodar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.912.01 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.34
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.09
First team to scoreFC Krasnodar to score first ✗68%1.46–
Half-time resultFC Krasnodar ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Krasnodar / FT FC Krasnodar ✗42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.40–

Recent results

FC Krasnodar – last 6

LDDDDW
10 Octvs Zenit2–3L
17 Sep@ FC Orenburg0–0D
13 Sepvs Akron1–1D
5 Sep@ Krylia Sovetov2–2D
1 Sep@ Fakel1–1D
29 Augvs FC Rostov1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Fakel – last 6

LWLDLD
10 Octvs Lokomotiv0–5L
3 Octvs FC Vitebsk1–0W
16 Sep@ Spartak Moscow0–1L
12 Sepvs Baltika2–2D
5 Sep@ FC Rostov1–3L
1 Sepvs FC Krasnodar1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026Fakel v FC Krasnodar1–1
2 Aug 2026FC Krasnodar v Fakel3–2
FC Krasnodar vs Fakel head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Spartak Kostroma1 Chelyabinsk0 145%2.34X23%3.16232%2.67 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.33 ✗
FT Lokomotiv1 Akron1 Pens 1–3 163%1.66X19%4.10217%5.00 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.37 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?

On our numbers FC Krasnodar have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fakel 14%.

How many goals will there be in FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?

Our predicted score is FC Krasnodar 1–0 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is FC Krasnodar vs Fakel?

FC Krasnodar vs Fakel (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Ozon Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.