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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv v Akron: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · RZD Arena

Lokomotiv

WWDLW
1–1
FTPens 1–3

Akron

LWDDD
Lokomotiv 63%Draw 19%Akron 17% Expected goals 1.55 – 0.61
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.37Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.06 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLokomotiv to win ✗63% · @1.66
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.61

Lokomotiv vs Akron: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 13 October the Cup brings Lokomotiv against Akron at RZD Arena. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT.

Current form

Lokomotiv, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Fakel, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Akron, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Rostov, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lokomotiv, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Akron.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Akron 0–0 Lokomotiv. The last 4 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv 2 wins, Akron 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv 1.6 xG, Akron 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv 63%, draw 19%, Akron 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.96.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.06 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.37 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv 1–0 Akron. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv63%fair 1.58 · @1.66
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.10
Akron17%fair 5.75 · @5.00
2.17Expected goals
1.55Lokomotiv xG
0.61Akron xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv 1.6 – 0.6 Akron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv to win ✗63%1.581.66 ▲
Double chanceLokomotiv or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.001.96
Draw no betLokomotiv (draw no bet)78%1.27–
Asian handicapLokomotiv -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.832.06 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.11
First team to scoreLokomotiv to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.61–

Recent results

Lokomotiv – last 6

WWDLWD
10 Oct@ Fakel5–0W
3 Octvs FC Orenburg2–0W
16 Sepvs Krylia Sovetov1–1D
12 Sep@ Zenit1–2L
6 Sep@ Baltika1–0W
1 Sep@ Akron0–0D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Akron – last 6

LWDDDD
9 Oct@ FC Rostov0–1L
17 Sepvs Akhmat2–0W
13 Sep@ FC Krasnodar1–1D
6 Sep@ FC Orenburg2–2D
1 Sepvs Lokomotiv0–0D
28 Augvs CSKA Moscow2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026Akron v Lokomotiv0–0
8 Aug 2026Lokomotiv v Akron0–0
11 Jul 2026Lokomotiv v Akron3–0
22 Mar 2026Lokomotiv v Akron5–1
Lokomotiv vs Akron head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Spartak Kostroma1 Chelyabinsk0 145%2.34X23%3.16232%2.67 1.2–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.33 ✗
FT FC Krasnodar0 Fakel2 168%1.41X18%4.95214%7.40 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.34 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv vs Akron?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Lokomotiv vs Akron?

On our numbers Lokomotiv have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Akron 17%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv vs Akron?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv vs Akron?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv 1–0 Akron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv vs Akron?

Lokomotiv vs Akron (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at RZD Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.