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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartak Kostroma v Chelyabinsk: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Stadion Urozhay

Spartak Kostroma

LLWWW
1–0
FT

Chelyabinsk

WDWDW
Spartak Kostroma 45%Draw 23%Chelyabinsk 32% Expected goals 1.23 – 0.97
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓45% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29

Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chelyabinsk travel to face Spartak Kostroma on Tuesday 13 October in the Cup, with Stadion Urozhay the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Spartak Kostroma, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Arsenal Tula, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Chelyabinsk, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over FK Neftekhimik, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Chelyabinsk 0–1 Spartak Kostroma. The last 2 head-to-heads: Spartak Kostroma 1 win, Chelyabinsk 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Kostroma 1.2 xG, Chelyabinsk 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Kostroma 45%, draw 23%, Chelyabinsk 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Kostroma45%fair 2.21 · @2.34
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.16
Chelyabinsk32%fair 3.11 · @2.67
2.20Expected goals
1.23Spartak Kostroma xG
0.97Chelyabinsk xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.2 – 1.0 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓45%2.212.34 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.981.85
Draw no betSpartak Kostroma (draw no bet) ✓58%1.71–
Asian handicapChelyabinsk +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.01
First team to scoreSpartak Kostroma to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma ✗24%4.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.29–

Recent results

Spartak Kostroma – last 6

LLWWWW
9 Oct@ Arsenal Tula2–3L
26 Sepvs Ural1–2L
18 Sep@ Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
14 Sepvs FK Neftekhimik1–0W
8 Sep@ Ryazan2–0W
5 Sep@ Chelyabinsk1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chelyabinsk – last 6

WDWDWL
9 Oct@ FK Neftekhimik4–2W
26 Sepvs Enisey1–1D
18 Sepvs FC UFA2–1W
14 Sep@ KAMAZ1–1D
10 Sep@ Dinamo Barnaul2–0W
5 Sepvs Spartak Kostroma0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Sep 2026Chelyabinsk v Spartak Kostroma0–1
7 Mar 2026Chelyabinsk v Spartak Kostroma3–3
Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Lokomotiv1 Akron1 Pens 1–3 163%1.66X19%4.10217%5.00 1.6–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.37 ✓
FT FC Krasnodar0 Fakel2 168%1.41X18%4.95214%7.40 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.34 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?

On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chelyabinsk 32%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?

Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk?

Spartak Kostroma vs Chelyabinsk (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.