Baltika 18%Draw 22%Zenit 60%Expected goals 0.66 – 1.51
82%
Betarazi pick
Zenit or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
2
Value bet: Zenit to win @ 1.89 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZenit to win ✓60% · @1.89
Double chanceZenit or draw ✓82% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Baltika vs Zenit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Thursday 29 October: Baltika v Zenit in the Cup, played at Rostec Arena.
Current form
Baltika, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Krasnodar, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Zenit, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Dinamo Makhachkala, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zenit, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Baltika.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Sep 2026) it ended Baltika 2–3 Zenit. The last 4 head-to-heads: Baltika 0 wins, Zenit 4, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika 0.7 xG, Zenit 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika 18%, draw 22%, Zenit 60%.
Lower-risk option: Zenit or draw (82%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Zenit to win @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zenit or draw (82%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika 0–1 Zenit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika18%fair 5.51 · @4.35
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.48
Zenit60%fair 1.68 · @1.89
2.17Expected goals
0.66Baltika xG
1.51Zenit xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–213%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Baltika 0.7 – 1.5 Zenit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zenit or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Baltika vs Zenit?
On our numbers Baltika have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zenit 60%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika vs Zenit?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika vs Zenit?
Our predicted score is Baltika 0–1 Zenit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Baltika vs Zenit?
Baltika vs Zenit (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Rostec Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Krylia Sovetov2
Dinamo Makhachkala0
CSKA Moscow3
Lokomotiv1