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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CSKA Moscow v Lokomotiv: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · VEB Arena

CSKA Moscow

WLWWW
3–1
FT

Lokomotiv

LDDWW
CSKA Moscow 53%Draw 21%Lokomotiv 26% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.98
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.37 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.37Odds

Picks by market

ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✓53% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSKA Moscow welcome Lokomotiv to VEB Arena for a Cup fixture on Thursday 29 October (17:30 WAT).

Current form

CSKA Moscow, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Spartak Moscow, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Lokomotiv, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Rostov, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours CSKA Moscow, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Lokomotiv.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended CSKA Moscow 3–2 Lokomotiv. The last 4 head-to-heads: CSKA Moscow 2 wins, Lokomotiv 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Moscow 1.5 xG, Lokomotiv 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Moscow 53%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Moscow 1–0 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CSKA Moscow53%fair 1.90 · @1.98
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.66
Lokomotiv26%fair 3.79 · @3.74
2.53Expected goals
1.54CSKA Moscow xG
0.98Lokomotiv xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: CSKA Moscow 1.5 – 1.0 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSKA Moscow to win ✓53%1.901.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.711.65
Draw no betCSKA Moscow (draw no bet) ✓67%1.50–
Asian handicapLokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.992.04
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.37
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.11
First team to scoreCSKA Moscow to score first56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow ✓30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

CSKA Moscow – last 6

WLWWWW
25 Octvs Spartak Moscow2–0W
18 Oct@ Dynamo1–3L
14 Octvs FC Rostov4–0W
11 Octvs Rodina Moskva3–0W
4 Octvs Arsenal Tula3–1W
17 Sep@ Dinamo Makhachkala3–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv – last 6

LDDWWD
25 Oct@ FC Rostov0–2L
17 Octvs FC Krasnodar3–3D
13 Octvs Akron1–1D
10 Oct@ Fakel5–0W
3 Octvs FC Orenburg2–0W
16 Sepvs Krylia Sovetov1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026CSKA Moscow v Lokomotiv3–2
4 Aug 2026Lokomotiv v CSKA Moscow1–1
14 Jul 2026Lokomotiv v CSKA Moscow1–0
17 May 2026CSKA Moscow v Lokomotiv3–1
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Krylia Sovetov2 Dinamo Makhachkala0 157%1.93X21%3.56222%4.05 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Baltika2 Zenit3 118%4.35X22%3.48260%1.89 0.7–1.5xG X2Zenit or draw 82%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

On our numbers CSKA Moscow have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lokomotiv 26%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

Our predicted score is CSKA Moscow 1–0 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv?

CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at VEB Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.