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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Krylia Sovetov v Dinamo Makhachkala: numbers & prediction

Cup · Russia · Solidarnost Samara Arena

Krylia Sovetov

WLLDD
2–0
FT

Dinamo Makhachkala

LDLLL
Krylia Sovetov 57%Draw 21%Dinamo Makhachkala 22% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.88
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Krylia Sovetov to win @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKrylia Sovetov to win ✓57% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 29 October the Cup brings Krylia Sovetov against Dinamo Makhachkala at Solidarnost Samara Arena. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Krylia Sovetov, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rubin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Dinamo Makhachkala, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Zenit, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Krylia Sovetov, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Dinamo Makhachkala.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Krylia Sovetov 1–4 Dinamo Makhachkala. The last 3 head-to-heads: Krylia Sovetov 2 wins, Dinamo Makhachkala 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Krylia Sovetov 1.6 xG, Dinamo Makhachkala 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Krylia Sovetov 57%, draw 21%, Dinamo Makhachkala 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.79.
  • Price worth noting: Krylia Sovetov to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylia Sovetov 1–0 Dinamo Makhachkala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Krylia Sovetov57%fair 1.76 · @1.93
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.56
Dinamo Makhachkala22%fair 4.51 · @4.05
2.50Expected goals
1.62Krylia Sovetov xG
0.88Dinamo Makhachkala xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 1.6 – 0.9 Dinamo Makhachkala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKrylia Sovetov to win ✓57%1.761.93 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.31
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.79
Draw no betKrylia Sovetov (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapDinamo Makhachkala +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.891.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.06
First team to scoreKrylia Sovetov to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Krylia Sovetov / FT Krylia Sovetov ✓34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Krylia Sovetov – last 6

WLLDDW
24 Oct@ Rubin2–0W
17 Octvs Fakel1–2L
14 Octvs Baltika0–2L
10 Octvs Spartak Moscow1–1D
16 Sep@ Lokomotiv1–1D
11 Sepvs Rodina Moskva2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Dinamo Makhachkala – last 6

LDLLLL
25 Oct@ Zenit0–2L
17 Octvs Akron1–1D
14 Octvs Zenit1–2L
10 Oct@ FC Orenburg0–4L
17 Sepvs CSKA Moscow1–3L
13 Sep@ Akhmat2–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Aug 2026Krylia Sovetov v Dinamo Makhachkala1–4
4 Aug 2026Dinamo Makhachkala v Krylia Sovetov1–2
8 Mar 2026Krylia Sovetov v Dinamo Makhachkala2–0
Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT CSKA Moscow3 Lokomotiv1 153%1.98X21%3.66226%3.74 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.37 ✗
FT Baltika2 Zenit3 118%4.35X22%3.48260%1.89 0.7–1.5xG X2Zenit or draw 82%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dinamo Makhachkala 22%.

How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 1–0 Dinamo Makhachkala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala?

Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Solidarnost Samara Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.