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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Accrington ST v Northampton: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · The Wham Stadium
1–1
FT
Accrington ST 45%Draw 23%Northampton 33% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.01
51%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultAccrington ST to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63

Accrington ST vs Northampton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Accrington ST v Northampton in the League Two, played at The Wham Stadium. In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Northampton are 21st (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Accrington ST, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Rochdale, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Northampton, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Colchester, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Accrington ST, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Northampton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.2 xG, Northampton 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 45%, draw 23%, Northampton 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–0 Northampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Accrington ST45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.25
Northampton33%fair 3.05 · @3.20
2.25Expected goals
1.24Accrington ST xG
1.01Northampton xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.2 – 1.0 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAccrington ST to win ✗45%2.242.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.91
Draw no betAccrington ST (draw no bet)58%1.73–
Asian handicapNorthampton +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreAccrington ST to score first ✓49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST ✗24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.63–

Recent results

Accrington ST – last 6

WDWDDW
24 Oct@ Rochdale5–0W
20 Oct@ York1–1D
17 Octvs Gillingham3–1W
10 Oct@ Oldham0–0D
6 Octvs Salford City1–1D
3 Octvs Cheltenham2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Northampton – last 6

WLWDLL
24 Octvs Colchester2–0W
20 Octvs Tranmere0–1L
17 Oct@ Grimsby2–0W
10 Oct@ York1–1D
6 Oct@ Cambridge United1–2L
19 Sepvs Rotherham0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Northampton.

Accrington ST vs Northampton head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Northampton?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Accrington ST vs Northampton?

On our numbers Accrington ST have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Northampton 33%.

How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Northampton?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Northampton?

Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Accrington ST vs Northampton?

Accrington ST vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.