Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Shrewsbury to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShrewsbury to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceShrewsbury or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shrewsbury welcome Gillingham to The Croud Meadow for a League Two fixture on Saturday 31 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Shrewsbury are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Gillingham are 8th (upper half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shrewsbury, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Everton U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Gillingham, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Grimsby, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shrewsbury 1.9 xG, Gillingham 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shrewsbury 62%, draw 22%, Gillingham 16%.
Lower-risk option: Shrewsbury or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Shrewsbury to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shrewsbury or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shrewsbury 1–0 Gillingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shrewsbury62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Gillingham16%fair 6.25 · @3.75
2.77Expected goals
1.91Shrewsbury xG
0.86Gillingham xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 1.9 – 0.9 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shrewsbury to win✗
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Shrewsbury or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Shrewsbury (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Shrewsbury -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Shrewsbury to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Shrewsbury ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shrewsbury / FT Shrewsbury✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Shrewsbury – last 6
WDWWLL
27 Oct
vs Everton U21
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Rotherham
3–3
D
20 Oct
@ Crawley Town
3–2
W
17 Oct
vs Bristol Rovers
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Exeter City
0–1
L
6 Oct
vs Stockport County
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gillingham – last 6
LDLWWD
24 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–4
L
20 Oct
vs Port Vale
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Accrington ST
1–3
L
13 Oct
vs Brighton U21
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Rotherham
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Newport County
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Gillingham.
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Shrewsbury or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gillingham 16%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Shrewsbury 1–0 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shrewsbury vs Gillingham?
Shrewsbury vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Croud Meadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
