Port Vale 59%Draw 24%Rochdale 17%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.71
59%
Betarazi pick
Port Vale to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultPort Vale to win ✓59% · @1.65
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Port Vale vs Rochdale: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the League Two brings Port Vale against Rochdale at Vale Park. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Port Vale are 19th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Rochdale are 20th (lower half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Port Vale, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Manchester City U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Rochdale, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Accrington ST, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Port Vale, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Rochdale.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 1.6 xG, Rochdale 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 59%, draw 24%, Rochdale 17%.
Lower-risk option: Port Vale or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Port Vale to win (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Port Vale59%fair 1.70 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.60
Rochdale17%fair 5.85 · @5.00
2.29Expected goals
1.58Port Vale xG
0.71Rochdale xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.6 – 0.7 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Double chance
Port Vale or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Draw no bet
Port Vale (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Rochdale +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Port Vale to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 6
WLDWWW
27 Oct
vs Manchester City U21
5–0
W
24 Oct
@ York
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Rochdale – last 6
LDLDLW
24 Oct
vs Accrington ST
0–5
L
20 Oct
vs Grimsby
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ Crewe
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Tranmere
1–1
D
6 Oct
@ Huddersfield
0–5
L
3 Oct
vs Swindon Town
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Rochdale.
Our pick is Port Vale to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Port Vale vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rochdale 17%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Rochdale?
Port Vale vs Rochdale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
