Leicester vs Burton Albion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leicester welcome Burton Albion to King Power Stadium for a League One fixture on Saturday 22 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Leicester are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Burton Albion are 15th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leicester, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Notts County, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Burton Albion, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stevenage, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leicester, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Burton Albion.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Burton Albion 0–3 Leicester.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leicester 1.9 xG, Burton Albion 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leicester 67%, draw 21%, Burton Albion 12%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leicester 1–0 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leicester67%fair 1.49 · @1.51
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.30
Burton Albion12%fair 8.57 · @5.80
2.47Expected goals
1.85Leicester xG
0.62Burton Albion xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Leicester 1.9 – 0.6 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leicester vs Burton Albion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Leicester vs Burton Albion?
On our numbers Leicester have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Burton Albion 12%.
How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Burton Albion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Burton Albion?
Our predicted score is Leicester 1–0 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Leicester vs Burton Albion?
Leicester vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
