Value bet: Oxford United to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStevenage to win ✗40% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Stevenage vs Oxford United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the League One brings Stevenage against Oxford United at Lamex Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stevenage are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Oxford United are 3rd (among the top four) with 26.
Current form
Stevenage, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burton Albion, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Oxford United, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Milton Keynes Dons, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.4 xG, Oxford United 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 40%, draw 23%, Oxford United 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Oxford United to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–1 Oxford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stevenage40%fair 2.51 · @2.34
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
Oxford United37%fair 2.70 · @3.00
2.74Expected goals
1.40Stevenage xG
1.34Oxford United xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.4 – 1.3 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stevenage to win✗
40%
2.51
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Stevenage (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Oxford United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Stevenage to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Stevenage – last 6
DWWWLD
15 Aug
@ Burton Albion
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Wycombe
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Colchester
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Millwall
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs West Ham
0–5
L
18 Jul
@ FC Andorra
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 6
DLWWWW
15 Aug
vs Milton Keynes Dons
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Leyton Orient
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Ipswich
2–0
W
28 Jul
vs Crawley Town
3–1
W
25 Jul
@ Barnet
2–1
W
21 Jul
@ Aldershot Town
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Stevenage vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oxford United 37%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–1 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Oxford United?
Stevenage vs Oxford United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
