Value bet: Burton Albion to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNotts County to win ✓41% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.71
Notts County vs Burton Albion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Notts County welcome Burton Albion to Meadow Lane for a League One fixture on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Notts County are 17th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Burton Albion are 15th (lower half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Notts County, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Luton, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Burton Albion, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leicester, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Burton Albion, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Notts County.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notts County 1.4 xG, Burton Albion 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notts County 41%, draw 22%, Burton Albion 37%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Burton Albion to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notts County 1–1 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notts County41%fair 2.43 · @2.26
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
Burton Albion37%fair 2.74 · @3.00
2.68Expected goals
1.39Notts County xG
1.29Burton Albion xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Notts County 1.4 – 1.3 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notts County to win✓
41%
2.43
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Draw no bet
Notts County (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Burton Albion +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Notts County to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notts County / FT Notts County✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Notts County – last 6
DDDDLL
22 Aug
@ Luton
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Leicester
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Burnley
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Walsall
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
0–2
L
14 Jul
@ Randers FC
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burton Albion – last 6
WDLWDL
22 Aug
@ Leicester
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Stevenage
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Blackburn
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Derby
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Solihull Moors
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Birmingham
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notts County and Burton Albion.
What is the prediction for Notts County vs Burton Albion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Notts County vs Burton Albion?
On our numbers Notts County have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burton Albion 37%.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Burton Albion?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notts County vs Burton Albion?
Our predicted score is Notts County 1–1 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Notts County vs Burton Albion?
Notts County vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
