Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultStevenage to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.17
Stevenage vs Doncaster: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the League One brings Stevenage against Doncaster at Lamex Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stevenage are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Doncaster are 20th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Stevenage, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Reading, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Doncaster, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Middlesbrough, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Stevenage, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Doncaster.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.2 xG, Doncaster 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 45%, draw 23%, Doncaster 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–0 Doncaster. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stevenage45%fair 2.22 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Doncaster32%fair 3.13 · @3.30
2.23Expected goals
1.25Stevenage xG
0.99Doncaster xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.2 – 1.0 Doncaster expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stevenage to win✗
45%
2.22
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Draw no bet
Stevenage (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Doncaster +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Stevenage to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stevenage / FT Stevenage✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
Stevenage – last 6
LLDWWW
25 Aug
vs Reading
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Oxford United
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Burton Albion
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Wycombe
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Colchester
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Millwall
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Doncaster – last 6
LDLDLL
25 Aug
vs Middlesbrough
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Barnsley
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Mansfield Town
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Stockport County
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Lincoln
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs Wolves
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Doncaster.
What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Doncaster?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stevenage vs Doncaster?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Doncaster 32%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Doncaster?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Doncaster?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–0 Doncaster, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Doncaster?
Stevenage vs Doncaster (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.