Value bet: Bradford to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBradford to win ✗40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Plymouth vs Bradford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Plymouth welcome Bradford to Home Park for a League One fixture on Saturday 29 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Plymouth are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Bradford are 7th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Plymouth, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Coventry, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Bradford, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Burnley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bradford, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Plymouth.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Bradford 1–1 Plymouth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth 1.2 xG, Bradford 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth 39%, draw 22%, Bradford 40%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Bradford to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth 1–1 Bradford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plymouth39%fair 2.60 · @2.18
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.45
Bradford40%fair 2.50 · @3.10
2.52Expected goals
1.24Plymouth xG
1.27Bradford xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Plymouth 1.2 – 1.3 Bradford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Plymouth vs Bradford?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bradford 40%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Bradford?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Bradford?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 1–1 Bradford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs Bradford?
Plymouth vs Bradford (League One) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
