Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeicester to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86
Barnsley vs Leicester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barnsley welcome Leicester to Oakwell Ground for a League One fixture on Saturday 19 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Barnsley are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Leicester are 10th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Barnsley, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Peterborough, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Leicester, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Stockport County, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barnsley, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Leicester.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barnsley 1.3 xG, Leicester 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barnsley 32%, draw 21%, Leicester 47%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnsley 1–1 Leicester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barnsley32%fair 3.08 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
Leicester47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
2.92Expected goals
1.30Barnsley xG
1.62Leicester xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Barnsley 1.3 – 1.6 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leicester to win✗
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Draw no bet
Leicester (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Barnsley +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Leicester to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leicester / FT Leicester✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Barnsley – last 6
DLLWWW
15 Sep
@ Peterborough
3–3
D
12 Sep
@ Plymouth
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Stevenage
1–5
L
2 Sep
vs Blackpool
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Leyton Orient
3–1
W
25 Aug
vs Crewe
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leicester – last 6
WLWDLL
12 Sep
@ Stockport County
4–3
W
5 Sep
vs Oxford United
0–4
L
1 Sep
vs Plymouth
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
25 Aug
@ Ipswich
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Burton Albion
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Leicester.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Barnsley vs Leicester?
On our numbers Barnsley have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leicester 47%.
How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Leicester?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnsley vs Leicester?
Our predicted score is Barnsley 1–1 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Barnsley vs Leicester?
Barnsley vs Leicester (League One) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
