Burton Albion 45%Draw 23%Mansfield Town 32%Expected goals 1.79 – 1.46
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Burton Albion to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBurton Albion to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Burton Albion v Mansfield Town in the League One, played at Pirelli Stadium. In the table, Burton Albion are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; Mansfield Town are 11th (upper half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Burton Albion, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Oxford United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Mansfield Town, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Huddersfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Burton Albion, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Mansfield Town.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Mansfield Town 0–0 Burton Albion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burton Albion 1.8 xG, Mansfield Town 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burton Albion 45%, draw 23%, Mansfield Town 32%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Burton Albion to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burton Albion 1–1 Mansfield Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burton Albion45%fair 2.20 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Mansfield Town32%fair 3.14 · @2.80
3.25Expected goals
1.79Burton Albion xG
1.46Mansfield Town xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Burton Albion 1.8 – 1.5 Mansfield Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?
On our numbers Burton Albion have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mansfield Town 32%.
How many goals will there be in Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?
Our predicted score is Burton Albion 1–1 Mansfield Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town?
Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town (League One) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Pirelli Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
