Value bet: Stevenage to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeyton Orient to win ✓38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the League One brings Leyton Orient against Stevenage at Matchroom Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Leyton Orient are 14th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Stevenage are 16th (lower half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leyton Orient, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arsenal U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Stevenage, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Luton, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Stevenage, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Leyton Orient.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Stevenage 1–2 Leyton Orient.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leyton Orient 1.6 xG, Stevenage 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leyton Orient 38%, draw 24%, Stevenage 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Stevenage to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leyton Orient 1–1 Stevenage. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leyton Orient38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Stevenage38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
3.25Expected goals
1.63Leyton Orient xG
1.62Stevenage xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Leyton Orient 1.6 – 1.6 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
On our numbers Leyton Orient have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stevenage 38%.
How many goals will there be in Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
Our predicted score is Leyton Orient 1–1 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
Leyton Orient vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Matchroom Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
