Cambridge United 63%Draw 20%AFC Wimbledon 16%Expected goals 1.77 – 0.73
84%
Betarazi pick
Cambridge United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cambridge United to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCambridge United to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceCambridge United or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cambridge United welcome AFC Wimbledon to Abbey Stadium for a League One fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Cambridge United are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; AFC Wimbledon are 18th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Cambridge United, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Gillingham, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
AFC Wimbledon, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Milton Keynes Dons, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cambridge United 1.8 xG, AFC Wimbledon 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cambridge United 63%, draw 20%, AFC Wimbledon 16%.
Lower-risk option: Cambridge United or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Cambridge United to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cambridge United or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cambridge United 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cambridge United63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.60
AFC Wimbledon16%fair 6.23 · @4.20
2.50Expected goals
1.77Cambridge United xG
0.73AFC Wimbledon xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cambridge United 1.8 – 0.7 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cambridge United to win✗
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cambridge United or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
Cambridge United (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Cambridge United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Cambridge United to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Cambridge United ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cambridge United / FT Cambridge United✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Cambridge United – last 6
WDWDWL
22 Sep
@ Gillingham
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Oxford United
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Reading
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Burton Albion
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Bradford
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Huddersfield
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon – last 6
DWWLWL
17 Sep
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Doncaster
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Bromley
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Burton Albion
1–4
L
30 Aug
vs Wigan
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Fulham
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cambridge United and AFC Wimbledon.
What is the prediction for Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Cambridge United or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Cambridge United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Wimbledon 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our predicted score is Cambridge United 1–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon?
Cambridge United vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Abbey Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
