Notts County 40%Draw 23%Blackpool 38%Expected goals 1.44 – 1.40
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.23
8/10Rating
1.23Odds
2
Value bet: Blackpool to win @ 2.83 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultNotts County to win40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.80
Notts County vs Blackpool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Notts County v Blackpool in the League One, played at Meadow Lane. In the table, Notts County are 17th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Blackpool are 19th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Notts County, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Grimsby, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Blackpool, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Wigan, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Notts County, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Blackpool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notts County 1.4 xG, Blackpool 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notts County 40%, draw 23%, Blackpool 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Blackpool to win @2.83 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notts County 1–1 Blackpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notts County40%fair 2.53 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.32
Blackpool38%fair 2.64 · @2.83
2.84Expected goals
1.44Notts County xG
1.40Blackpool xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Notts County 1.4 – 1.4 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notts County to win
40%
2.53
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Notts County (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Blackpool +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.87
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
1.06
First team to score
Notts County to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notts County / FT Notts County
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.80
–
Recent results
Notts County – last 6
WLLDDW
22 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Reading
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Bradford
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Huddersfield
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Doncaster
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Burton Albion
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Blackpool – last 6
LLDLLW
22 Sep
@ Wigan
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Plymouth
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Bromley
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Reading
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Barnsley
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Peterborough
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notts County and Blackpool.
What is the prediction for Notts County vs Blackpool?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Notts County vs Blackpool?
On our numbers Notts County have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Blackpool 38%.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Blackpool?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notts County vs Blackpool?
Our predicted score is Notts County 1–1 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Notts County vs Blackpool?
Notts County vs Blackpool (League One) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
