Doncaster v Burton Albion Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDoncaster to win ✓60% · @1.67

Double chanceDoncaster or draw ✓81% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Doncaster vs Burton Albion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Doncaster v Burton Albion in the League One, played at Keepmoat Stadium. In the table, Doncaster are 20th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Burton Albion are 15th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Doncaster, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Liverpool U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Burton Albion, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Grimsby, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Doncaster 1.9 xG, Burton Albion 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Doncaster 60%, draw 21%, Burton Albion 19%.
Lower-risk option: Doncaster or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Doncaster or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Doncaster 1–0 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Doncaster60%fair 1.67 · @1.67

Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.75

Burton Albion19%fair 5.19 · @4.40

2.88Expected goals

1.91Doncaster xG

0.97Burton Albion xG

57%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%

1–110%

2–010%

2–110%

3–07%

3–16%

From our goals model: Doncaster 1.9 – 1.0 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Doncaster to win ✓	60%	1.67	1.67
Double chance	Doncaster or draw ✓	81%	1.24	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.77	1.73
Draw no bet	Doncaster (draw no bet) ✓	76%	1.32	–
Asian handicap	Burton Albion +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.82	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.48	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.20	–
First team to score	Doncaster to score first ✓	63%	1.60	–
Half-time result	Doncaster ahead at half-time ✓	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Doncaster / FT Doncaster ✓	37%	2.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.07	–

Doncaster – last 6

WWLLLD

6 Oct	vs Liverpool U21	1–0	W
19 Sep	@ Peterborough	2–0	W
12 Sep	@ AFC Wimbledon	0–1	L
8 Sep	vs Huddersfield	1–3	L
5 Sep	vs Plymouth	2–3	L
1 Sep	vs Notts County	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Burton Albion – last 6

DLWDDL

6 Oct	@ Grimsby	0–0	D
3 Oct	vs Huddersfield	1–3	L
26 Sep	@ Plymouth	1–0	W
22 Sep	vs Nottingham Forest U21	1–1	D
19 Sep	vs Mansfield Town	2–2	D
12 Sep	@ Oxford United	0–3	L

0.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

Team

Pts

+16

+12

+11

+10

-2

-3

-1

-12

-4

-8

-11

-12

-10

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Doncaster vs Burton Albion?

Our pick is Doncaster or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Doncaster vs Burton Albion?

On our numbers Doncaster have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Burton Albion 19%.

How many goals will there be in Doncaster vs Burton Albion?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Doncaster vs Burton Albion?

Our predicted score is Doncaster 1–0 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Doncaster vs Burton Albion?

Doncaster vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Keepmoat Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Doncaster v Burton Albion: numbers & prediction