Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPlymouth to win ✓64% · @1.44
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.98
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Plymouth v AFC Wimbledon in the League One, played at Home Park. In the table, Plymouth are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; AFC Wimbledon are 18th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Plymouth, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Newport County, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
AFC Wimbledon, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barnet, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Plymouth, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for AFC Wimbledon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth 1.7 xG, AFC Wimbledon 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth 64%, draw 21%, AFC Wimbledon 15%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Plymouth to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plymouth64%fair 1.55 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.20
AFC Wimbledon15%fair 6.65 · @5.50
2.41Expected goals
1.74Plymouth xG
0.67AFC Wimbledon xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Plymouth 1.7 – 0.7 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plymouth to win✓
64%
1.55
1.44
Double chance
Plymouth or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Draw no bet
Plymouth (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Plymouth -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Plymouth to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Plymouth ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.98
–
Recent results
Plymouth – last 6
DWLWWW
6 Oct
@ Newport County
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Leyton Orient
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Burton Albion
0–1
L
22 Sep
vs Crystal Palace U21
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Blackpool
4–2
W
12 Sep
vs Barnsley
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon – last 6
DDDWWL
6 Oct
vs Barnet
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
17 Sep
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Doncaster
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Bromley
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Burton Albion
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and AFC Wimbledon.
What is the prediction for Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Plymouth to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AFC Wimbledon 15%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 1–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
